Adding in some results from Florida, Georgia and Virginia, the 15-20 point trend seems to be holding up. Early vote has the Democrats ahead for both the Governor and Senate races in Florida.

Again, it is not surprising that Democrats did well in the early vote in Florida, but the extent of it is larger than expected. Traditionally, Republicans overperformed in absentee voting in Florida, but that is no longer the case.

The MSNOW voter poll indicates that, in addition to the expected affordability issue, corruption is an across-the-board strong issue in this election and it is not playing out so far in Republicans’ favor.